cbb·system

Western Illinois Leathernecks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.11
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.11
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.16
PACE 73.75 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Illinois AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.30 to 0.45 over 108 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141416 0.467

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-09 2014 Western Illinois @ South Dakota N 94–96 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Western Illinois @ IU Indianapolis 68–76 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Western Illinois @ Purdue Fort Wayne 92–99 regular
2014-02-22 2014 South Dakota @ Western Illinois 79–76 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Denver @ Western Illinois 76–79 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Western Illinois @ South Dakota State 79–83 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Western Illinois @ North Dakota State 76–68 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Omaha @ Western Illinois 65–71 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Western Illinois 65–68 regular
2014-01-31 2014 IU Indianapolis @ Western Illinois 77–60 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Western Illinois @ Denver 83–87 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Western Illinois @ South Dakota 81–71 regular
2014-01-18 2014 North Dakota State @ Western Illinois 83–77 regular
2014-01-17 2014 South Dakota State @ Western Illinois 67–66 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Western Illinois @ Omaha 84–62 regular
2014-01-09 2014 St. Francis (IL) @ Western Illinois 52–121 non_d1
2014-01-08 2014 St. Francis (IL) @ Western Illinois postponed non_d1
2014-01-02 2014 Culver Stockton @ Western Illinois 38–113 non_d1
2013-12-29 2014 Western Illinois @ Kansas City 80–74 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Western Illinois @ Missouri 60–75 regular
2013-12-20 2014 SIU Edwardsville @ Western Illinois 78–70 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Southeast Missouri State @ Western Illinois 58–79 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Western Illinois @ Oklahoma 80–97 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Saint Louis @ Western Illinois 85–87 regular
2013-11-25 2014 Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois 64–68 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Loyola Chicago @ Western Illinois 89–79 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Florida Atlantic @ Western Illinois 81–77 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Western Illinois @ Milwaukee 99–86 regular
2013-11-15 2014 William Woods @ Western Illinois 55–98 non_d1
2013-11-09 2014 Western Illinois @ UAB N 71–65 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Western Illinois @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 60–66 regular