cbb·system

Western Illinois Leathernecks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 76.18 possessions per game 4.20

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Illinois AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 67.44 to 167.27 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201515 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts N 66–74 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 Western Illinois @ Denver 78–84 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts 60–71 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Omaha @ Western Illinois 66–79 regular
2020-02-15 2020 North Dakota @ Western Illinois 74–91 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Western Illinois @ South Dakota 51–88 regular
2020-02-05 2020 Western Illinois @ Purdue Fort Wayne 83–74 regular
2020-02-01 2020 North Dakota State @ Western Illinois 79–86 regular
2020-01-30 2020 South Dakota State @ Western Illinois 89–48 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Western Illinois @ North Dakota 71–77 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Western Illinois @ Omaha 83–69 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Oral Roberts @ Western Illinois 61–75 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Denver @ Western Illinois 75–82 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Western Illinois 68–79 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Western Illinois @ South Dakota State 45–75 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Western Illinois @ North Dakota State 79–78 regular
2019-12-29 2020 South Dakota @ Western Illinois 96–65 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois N 52–60 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Western Illinois @ Southern Illinois N 65–79 regular
2019-12-17 2020 Southeast Missouri State @ Western Illinois 91–97 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Western Illinois @ Chicago State 88–78 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Western Illinois @ Illinois State 65–78 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Missouri Baptist @ Western Illinois 69–90 non_d1
2019-11-24 2020 Western Illinois @ Drake 75–94 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Bradley @ Western Illinois 84–49 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Western Illinois @ Purdue 59–66 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Indiana State @ Western Illinois 72–83 regular
2019-11-12 2020 Illinois Springfield @ Western Illinois 51–91 non_d1
2019-11-08 2020 Culver Stockton @ Western Illinois 75–82 non_d1
2019-11-06 2020 Western Illinois @ Missouri 89–97 regular