cbb·system

Portland Pilots

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Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.00 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.80 possessions per game 4.35

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Portland AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.34 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221915 0.559

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdPortland auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-26 2022 Portland @ Southern Utah 66–77 other_postseason
2022-03-20 2022 New Orleans @ Portland 73–94 other_postseason
2022-03-06 2022 Portland @ Santa Clara N 67–91 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 San Diego @ Portland N 55–73 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Portland @ Santa Clara 89–102 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Portland @ Pacific 75–69 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Pepperdine @ Portland 74–77 regular
2022-02-18 2022 San Diego @ Portland 60–92 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Bushnell @ Portland 39–84 non_d1
2022-02-15 2022 Santa Clara @ Portland canceled regular
2022-02-13 2022 Loyola Marymount @ Portland 76–86 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Portland @ San Francisco 69–68 regular
2022-02-06 2022 San Francisco @ Portland 74–71 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Saint Mary's @ Portland 75–54 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Portland @ Gonzaga 72–104 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Pacific @ Portland 56–64 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Portland @ BYU 65–78 regular
2022-01-18 2022 Portland @ Loyola Marymount 58–70 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Portland @ Pepperdine 82–63 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Portland @ San Diego 63–68 regular
2022-01-02 2022 BYU @ Portland canceled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Portland @ UC Davis 65–60 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Portland @ Montana State 59–61 regular
2021-12-18 2022 San José State @ Portland 90–78 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Portland @ Oregon 71–96 regular
2021-12-14 2022 Cal Poly @ Portland 77–78 regular
2021-12-04 2022 VMI @ Portland 90–82 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Portland @ Incarnate Word 77–68 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Southeast Missouri State @ Portland N 68–74 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Portland @ Montana State N 66–69 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Portland @ Portland State 69–54 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Morgan State @ Portland 63–74 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Portland 74–86 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Alcorn State @ Portland 58–62 regular
2021-11-12 2022 Willamette @ Portland 78–122 non_d1
2021-11-10 2022 Portland @ Arizona State 60–76 regular