cbb·system

Portland Pilots

mens WCC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.74 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Portland AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.74 to 1.36 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231419 0.424

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdPortland auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-04 2023 Portland @ BYU N 71–82 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 San Diego @ Portland N 74–92 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Portland @ Pacific 77–81 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Portland @ San Francisco 89–92 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Santa Clara @ Portland 103–84 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Saint Mary's @ Portland 81–64 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Pacific @ Portland 73–81 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Portland @ Pepperdine 93–94 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Portland @ San Diego 80–61 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Gonzaga @ Portland 82–67 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Portland @ Loyola Marymount 60–79 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Pepperdine @ Portland 76–91 regular
2023-01-20 2023 San Diego @ Portland 83–88 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Portland @ Gonzaga 75–115 regular
2023-01-13 2023 San Francisco @ Portland 87–92 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Portland @ Saint Mary's 43–85 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Portland @ BYU 58–71 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Loyola Marymount @ Portland 92–72 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Portland @ UC Riverside 65–76 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Portland @ Oregon 56–78 regular
2022-12-11 2023 New Orleans @ Portland 61–100 regular
2022-12-06 2023 North Dakota State @ Portland 67–62 regular
2022-12-04 2023 North Dakota @ Portland 69–90 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Multnomah University @ Portland 79–100 non_d1
2022-11-27 2023 Portland @ Michigan State N 77–78 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Portland @ Villanova N 83–71 regular
2022-11-24 2023 North Carolina @ Portland N 89–81 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Seattle U @ Portland 80–68 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Portland @ Air Force 64–51 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Portland @ Kent State 65–77 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Portland State @ Portland 91–98 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Florida A&M @ Portland 54–91 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Lewis & Clark @ Portland 62–89 non_d1