cbb·system

Mercyhurst Lakers

mens canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.80 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercyhurst AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.31 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261717 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMercyhurst auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-10 2026 Mercyhurst @ Long Island University 70–79 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Stonehill @ Mercyhurst 51–56 conf_tournament
2026-03-05 2026 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst 61–70 conf_tournament
2026-02-28 2026 Mercyhurst @ Stonehill 75–72 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Mercyhurst @ Central Connecticut 78–80 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Long Island University @ Mercyhurst 83–91 regular
2026-02-20 2026 Wagner @ Mercyhurst 83–80 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Mercyhurst @ St. Francis (PA) 94–79 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Mercyhurst @ Le Moyne 57–58 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Mercyhurst @ Fairleigh Dickinson 52–55 regular
2026-02-06 2026 St. Francis (PA) @ Mercyhurst 89–98 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Mercyhurst @ Chicago State 74–78 regular
2026-01-30 2026 New Haven @ Mercyhurst 51–70 regular
2026-01-25 2026 Chicago State @ Mercyhurst 59–61 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Mercyhurst @ New Haven 61–57 regular
2026-01-19 2026 Central Connecticut @ Mercyhurst 61–79 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Stonehill @ Mercyhurst 62–57 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Mercyhurst @ Wagner 70–69 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Mercyhurst @ Long Island University 58–60 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Le Moyne @ Mercyhurst 60–74 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst 74–67 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Binghamton @ Mercyhurst 61–82 regular
2025-12-18 2026 Mercyhurst @ Syracuse 62–76 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Mercyhurst @ Davidson 47–80 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Bethany (WV) @ Mercyhurst 51–80 non_d1
2025-12-06 2026 Mercyhurst @ Lafayette 71–79 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Mercyhurst @ West Virginia 38–70 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Mercyhurst @ Marshall 60–69 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Mercyhurst @ Miami (OH) 71–76 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Morgan State @ Mercyhurst 72–86 regular
2025-11-13 2026 Mercyhurst @ Canisius 55–58 regular
2025-11-08 2026 Penn State-New Kensington @ Mercyhurst 43–93 non_d1
2025-11-07 2026 Mercyhurst @ Loyola Chicago 73–65 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Mercyhurst @ Northwestern 47–70 regular