cbb·system

Vermont Catamounts

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.77 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.27 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.32 possessions per game 5.08

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Vermont AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.22 to 1.69 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191118 0.379

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVermont auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-07 2019 Vermont @ Stony Brook 58–69 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 Vermont @ Stony Brook 48–58 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Binghamton @ Vermont 59–50 regular
2019-02-20 2019 UMBC @ Vermont 50–58 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Hartford @ Vermont 76–48 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Vermont @ New Hampshire 51–50 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Vermont @ UAlbany 40–65 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Vermont @ Maine 45–66 regular
2019-02-02 2019 UMass Lowell @ Vermont 42–52 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Stony Brook @ Vermont 67–61 regular
2019-01-23 2019 Vermont @ UMBC 58–44 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Vermont @ Binghamton 58–57 regular
2019-01-17 2019 New Hampshire @ Vermont 60–69 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Vermont @ Hartford 32–61 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Maine @ Vermont 63–51 regular
2019-01-05 2019 UAlbany @ Vermont 39–52 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Vermont @ UMass Lowell 51–54 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Vermont @ Kansas 36–77 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Vermont @ Canisius 46–67 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Vermont @ South Florida 55–102 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Yale @ Vermont 58–55 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Vermont State Randolph @ Vermont canceled non_d1
2018-12-02 2019 Vermont @ NJIT 71–63 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Holy Cross @ Vermont 65–40 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Drexel @ Vermont 60–44 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Wagner @ Vermont 54–56 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Rhode Island @ Vermont 61–58 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Norwich @ Vermont 28–78 non_d1
2018-11-11 2019 Dartmouth @ Vermont 66–42 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Rider @ Vermont 49–54 regular