cbb·system

Vermont Catamounts

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.17 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.52 possessions per game 5.12

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Vermont AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 54.04 to 78.68 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018822 0.267

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVermont auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-03 2018 Vermont @ UAlbany N 42–60 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Stony Brook @ Vermont 55–49 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Maine @ Vermont 79–47 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Vermont @ Hartford 52–91 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Vermont @ Binghamton 38–52 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Vermont @ UMass Lowell 60–65 regular
2018-02-09 2018 UAlbany @ Vermont 57–62 regular
2018-02-06 2018 Vermont @ New Hampshire 58–53 regular
2018-02-03 2018 UMBC @ Vermont 52–51 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Binghamton @ Vermont 62–48 regular
2018-01-24 2018 Vermont @ UAlbany 55–67 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Hartford @ Vermont 47–53 regular
2018-01-19 2018 New Hampshire @ Vermont 52–49 regular
2018-01-15 2018 Vermont @ Maine 55–64 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Vermont @ Stony Brook 57–80 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Vermont @ UMBC 72–58 regular
2018-01-04 2018 UMass Lowell @ Vermont 55–63 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Vermont @ Florida International 70–80 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Central Connecticut @ Vermont 48–62 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Northeastern @ Vermont 71–66 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Vermont @ Holy Cross 53–64 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Boston University @ Vermont 57–41 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Vermont @ Rider 49–64 regular
2017-11-25 2018 James Madison @ Vermont 68–56 regular
2017-11-24 2018 American University @ Vermont 64–62 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Columbia @ Vermont 73–66 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Howard @ Vermont 65–88 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Norwich @ Vermont 31–75 non_d1
2017-11-12 2018 Vermont @ Miami 49–73 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Vermont @ Dartmouth 56–66 regular