cbb·system

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.70 possessions per game 4.48

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Notre Dame AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.79 to 1.36 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231121 0.344

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNotre Dame auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech N 64–67 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Notre Dame @ Clemson 64–87 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame 81–88 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Notre Dame @ Wake Forest 58–66 regular
2023-02-23 2023 North Carolina @ Notre Dame 63–59 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Notre Dame @ Virginia 55–57 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Notre Dame @ Duke 64–68 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame 93–87 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech 68–70 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Wake Forest @ Notre Dame 81–64 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Louisville @ Notre Dame 62–76 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Notre Dame @ NC State 82–85 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Boston College @ Notre Dame 84–72 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Florida State @ Notre Dame 84–71 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Notre Dame @ Syracuse 73–78 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame 72–73 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Notre Dame @ North Carolina 64–81 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Notre Dame @ Boston College 63–70 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Miami @ Notre Dame 76–65 regular
2022-12-28 2023 Jacksonville @ Notre Dame 43–59 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Notre Dame @ Florida State 72–73 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Notre Dame @ Georgia N 62–77 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Marquette @ Notre Dame 79–64 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Boston University @ Notre Dame 75–81 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Syracuse @ Notre Dame 62–61 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Michigan State @ Notre Dame 52–70 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Notre Dame @ St. Bonaventure N 51–63 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Bowling Green @ Notre Dame 66–82 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Lipscomb @ Notre Dame 65–66 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Southern Indiana @ Notre Dame 70–82 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Youngstown State @ Notre Dame 81–88 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Radford @ Notre Dame 76–79 regular