cbb·system

Texas Tech Red Raiders

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #3 Elite 8 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.29 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.32 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.91 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas Tech AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.64 to 1.28 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025289 0.757

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTexas Tech auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-29 2025 Texas Tech @ Florida N 79–84 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-28 2025 Arkansas @ Texas Tech N 83–85 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-22 2025 Drake @ Texas Tech N 64–77 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 UNC Wilmington @ Texas Tech N 72–82 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Arizona @ Texas Tech N 86–80 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 Baylor @ Texas Tech N 74–76 conf_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 Texas Tech @ Arizona State 85–57 regular
2025-03-06 2025 Colorado @ Texas Tech 75–91 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Texas Tech @ Kansas 78–73 regular
2025-02-25 2025 Houston @ Texas Tech 69–61 regular
2025-02-22 2025 West Virginia @ Texas Tech 51–73 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Texas Tech @ TCU 66–69 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State 93–55 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Arizona State @ Texas Tech 106–111 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Texas Tech @ Arizona 73–82 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Baylor @ Texas Tech 59–73 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Texas Tech @ Houston 82–81 regular
2025-01-30 2025 TCU @ Texas Tech 57–71 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech 54–64 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Texas Tech @ Cincinnati 81–71 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Arizona @ Texas Tech 54–70 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Texas Tech @ Kansas State 61–57 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Iowa State @ Texas Tech 85–84 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Texas Tech @ BYU 72–67 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Texas Tech @ Utah 93–65 regular
2024-12-31 2025 UCF @ Texas Tech 87–83 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Lamar @ Texas Tech 57–101 regular
2024-12-17 2025 Oral Roberts @ Texas Tech 50–86 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Texas A&M @ Texas Tech N 72–67 regular
2024-12-05 2025 DePaul @ Texas Tech 62–76 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Northern Colorado @ Texas Tech 64–89 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Syracuse @ Texas Tech N 74–79 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Texas Tech @ Saint Joseph's N 77–78 regular
2024-11-19 2025 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Tech 64–98 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Wyoming @ Texas Tech 49–96 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Northwestern State @ Texas Tech 65–86 regular
2024-11-06 2025 Bethune-Cookman @ Texas Tech 61–94 regular