cbb·system

Fairfield Stags

mens Metro canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.17 possessions per game 4.64

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fairfield AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.74 to 1.36 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221518 0.455

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdFairfield auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's N 63–77 conf_tournament
2022-03-09 2022 Canisius @ Fairfield N 50–72 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's 41–57 regular
2022-03-04 2022 Rider @ Fairfield 59–65 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Fairfield @ Manhattan 66–62 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Fairfield @ Iona 58–76 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield 70–59 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Manhattan @ Fairfield 74–67 regular
2022-02-15 2022 Canisius @ Fairfield 76–80 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Niagara @ Fairfield 53–73 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Quinnipiac @ Fairfield 69–60 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Siena @ Fairfield 62–56 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Fairfield @ Monmouth 56–59 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Fairfield @ Rider 76–65 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Fairfield @ Marist 69–66 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Monmouth @ Fairfield 61–58 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 66–72 regular
2022-01-11 2022 Iona @ Fairfield 80–76 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Fairfield @ Siena 62–69 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Marist @ Fairfield 60–51 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Manhattan @ Fairfield scheduled regular
2021-12-23 2022 Wagner @ Fairfield 63–50 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Fairfield @ Massachusetts 73–77 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Fairfield @ Fairleigh Dickinson 72–54 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Fairfield @ William & Mary 70–47 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Holy Cross @ Fairfield 59–74 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Fairfield @ Niagara 81–71 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Fairfield @ Canisius 74–68 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Loyola Maryland @ Fairfield 75–70 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Stony Brook @ Fairfield 78–83 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Fairfield @ Sacred Heart 71–61 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Medgar Evers @ Fairfield 55–110 non_d1
2021-11-14 2022 Fairfield @ Boston College 64–72 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Fairfield @ Providence 73–80 regular