cbb·system

Fairfield Stags

mens Metro canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.14 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fairfield AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.67 to 1.27 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdFairfield auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield N 70–52 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 Quinnipiac @ Fairfield 82–92 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Fairfield @ Canisius 51–64 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Fairfield @ Niagara 68–76 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Manhattan @ Fairfield 73–72 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Fairfield @ Marist 70–61 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield 72–76 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Fairfield @ Rider 57–58 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Iona @ Fairfield 70–61 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 51–66 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Rider @ Fairfield 78–69 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Fairfield @ Mount St. Mary's 63–60 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Fairfield @ Siena 62–52 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Canisius @ Fairfield 58–67 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's 56–52 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Fairfield @ Iona 69–75 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Niagara @ Fairfield 77–69 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Siena @ Fairfield 70–61 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Marist @ Fairfield 54–73 regular
2022-12-23 2023 Drexel @ Fairfield canceled regular
2022-12-18 2023 Coast Guard @ Fairfield 45–86 non_d1
2022-12-13 2023 Yale @ Fairfield 77–64 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Sacred Heart @ Fairfield 59–61 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield 55–67 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Fairfield @ Manhattan 53–56 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Evansville @ Fairfield N 56–63 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Fairfield @ Mercer N 58–60 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Fairfield @ Towson N 74–69 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Fairfield @ Wagner 52–68 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Fairfield @ Xavier 65–78 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Fairfield @ New Hampshire 71–83 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Fairfield @ Wake Forest 59–71 regular