cbb·system

Fairfield Stags

mens Metro canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.09 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.71 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fairfield AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 56.94 to 79.56 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20262113 0.618

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdFairfield auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-09 2026 Fairfield @ Siena N 61–76 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's N 74–55 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Manhattan @ Fairfield N 60–71 conf_tournament
2026-03-01 2026 Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield 69–47 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Siena @ Fairfield 58–72 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 85–79 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Sacred Heart @ Fairfield 68–78 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's 74–83 regular
2026-02-08 2026 Marist @ Fairfield 60–63 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Fairfield @ Sacred Heart 92–87 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Quinnipiac @ Fairfield 72–65 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Fairfield @ Iona 71–70 regular
2026-01-25 2026 Canisius @ Fairfield 55–61 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Niagara @ Fairfield 61–62 regular
2026-01-19 2026 Fairfield @ Siena 77–85 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Fairfield @ Marist 67–82 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Manhattan @ Fairfield 62–98 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Rider @ Fairfield 62–68 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Fairfield @ Niagara 83–75 regular
2026-01-02 2026 Fairfield @ Canisius 81–85 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield 70–66 regular
2025-12-23 2026 City College NY @ Fairfield 58–121 non_d1
2025-12-19 2026 Fairfield @ Central Connecticut 84–70 regular
2025-12-14 2026 Monmouth @ Fairfield 65–73 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Fairfield @ Merrimack 63–74 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Fairfield @ Manhattan 66–70 regular
2025-11-30 2026 New Hampshire @ Fairfield 68–72 regular
2025-11-27 2026 Columbia @ Fairfield 106–77 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Fairfield @ Le Moyne 97–83 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Loyola Maryland @ Fairfield 82–85 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Stonehill @ Fairfield 71–73 regular
2025-11-11 2026 Fairfield @ Seton Hall 59–82 regular
2025-11-08 2026 Fairfield @ NJIT 74–53 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Fairfield @ Penn State 68–76 regular