cbb·system

Morgan State Lady Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.17
PACE 75.43 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Morgan State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 66.84 to 86.94 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMorgan State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-10 2015 Coppin State @ Morgan State N 71–56 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Morgan State @ Maryland Eastern Shore 65–50 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Coppin State @ Morgan State 55–73 regular
2015-02-23 2015 Morgan State @ North Carolina A&T 59–67 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Morgan State @ North Carolina Central 47–63 regular
2015-02-16 2015 Hampton @ Morgan State 78–44 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Norfolk State @ Morgan State 64–56 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Morgan State @ NJIT 49–52 regular
2015-02-09 2015 South Carolina State @ Morgan State 46–54 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Savannah State @ Morgan State 72–58 regular
2015-02-02 2015 Morgan State @ Coppin State 62–53 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Morgan State @ Howard 77–64 regular
2015-01-19 2015 Bethune-Cookman @ Morgan State 55–48 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Florida A&M @ Morgan State 50–57 regular
2015-01-12 2015 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State 62–72 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Morgan State @ Delaware State 64–56 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Brown @ Morgan State 59–52 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Morgan State @ UMBC 54–46 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Tennessee Tech @ Morgan State N 62–56 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Morgan State @ Chattanooga 40–55 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Stony Brook @ Morgan State 50–48 regular
2014-12-08 2015 Morgan State @ Hampton 43–63 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Morgan State @ Norfolk State 63–68 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Morgan State @ Bucknell 50–79 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Morgan State @ Oklahoma State 43–73 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Morgan State @ Texas Tech 57–65 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Washington Adventist @ Morgan State 44–66 non_d1
2014-11-18 2015 Wesley @ Morgan State 50–90 non_d1
2014-11-16 2015 Morgan State @ Georgia Tech 76–105 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Morgan State @ Georgia 36–68 regular