cbb·system

Iowa State Cyclones

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.17
PACE 67.09 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Iowa State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.18 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIowa State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-20 2015 Iowa State @ Dayton N 66–78 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Iowa State @ Oklahoma State N 58–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-03 2015 Iowa State @ Kansas 64–68 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Baylor @ Iowa State 71–76 regular
2015-02-25 2015 Texas Tech @ Iowa State 47–59 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Iowa State @ West Virginia 52–54 regular
2015-02-18 2015 Oklahoma @ Iowa State 76–84 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 48–60 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Iowa State @ Texas Tech 58–71 regular
2015-02-08 2015 West Virginia @ Iowa State 43–61 regular
2015-02-04 2015 Iowa State @ Oklahoma 66–75 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 63–62 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Kansas @ Iowa State 61–56 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Iowa State @ Texas 58–57 regular
2015-01-22 2015 TCU @ Iowa State 62–80 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Iowa State @ Kansas State 79–59 regular
2015-01-14 2015 Iowa State @ Baylor 47–79 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Texas @ Iowa State 57–59 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Iowa State @ TCU 84–86 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Kansas State @ Iowa State 55–60 regular
2014-12-31 2015 UC Riverside @ Iowa State 54–71 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Howard @ Iowa State 44–90 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Fairfield @ Iowa State 63–76 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Iowa State 56–82 regular
2014-12-12 2015 Iowa State @ Iowa 67–76 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Stony Brook @ Iowa State 64–74 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Iowa State @ Saint Mary's 63–67 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Wyoming @ Iowa State N 63–84 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Cincinnati @ Iowa State 54–85 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Drake @ Iowa State 67–84 regular
2014-11-16 2015 South Carolina Upstate @ Iowa State 76–98 regular