cbb·system

Iowa State Cyclones

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.59 possessions per game 4.95

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Iowa State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 55.51 to 81.41 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIowa State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-04 2018 Iowa State @ Texas N 69–81 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Texas Tech @ Iowa State N 49–74 conf_tournament
2018-02-28 2018 Iowa State @ Kansas 65–56 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Texas @ Iowa State 72–59 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Iowa State @ Oklahoma 71–80 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Texas Tech @ Iowa State 57–69 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Iowa State @ TCU 66–63 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 81–73 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Iowa State @ Kansas State 80–45 regular
2018-01-31 2018 TCU @ Iowa State 75–52 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Iowa State @ Texas 55–87 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 78–69 regular
2018-01-21 2018 West Virginia @ Iowa State 69–59 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Baylor @ Iowa State 79–50 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Iowa State @ Texas Tech 66–54 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Kansas State @ Iowa State 67–60 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Iowa State @ West Virginia 49–57 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Iowa State @ Baylor 49–89 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Oklahoma @ Iowa State 74–69 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Kansas @ Iowa State 69–71 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Nicholls @ Iowa State 47–75 regular
2017-12-17 2018 UC Riverside @ Iowa State 66–89 regular
2017-12-10 2018 North Carolina Central @ Iowa State 58–99 regular
2017-12-07 2018 Iowa @ Iowa State 61–55 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Iowa State @ Vanderbilt 74–77 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Iowa State @ Drake 80–83 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Iowa State @ Central Michigan N 60–81 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Tulane @ Iowa State N 64–67 regular
2017-11-21 2018 Kansas City @ Iowa State 45–61 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Iowa State @ Northern Iowa 53–57 regular
2017-11-10 2018 South Dakota @ Iowa State 76–81 regular