cbb·system

Iowa State Cyclones

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.28 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.25 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Iowa State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 58.54 to 163.23 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201811 0.621

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIowa State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 Kansas State @ Iowa State N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-08 2020 Baylor @ Iowa State 56–57 regular
2020-03-04 2020 Iowa State @ Kansas 61–42 regular
2020-02-29 2020 West Virginia @ Iowa State 58–61 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Iowa State @ Kansas State 51–60 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Texas Tech @ Iowa State 77–74 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Iowa State @ TCU 72–82 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Iowa State @ Texas 69–51 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Oklahoma @ Iowa State 59–63 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 63–74 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Iowa State @ West Virginia 71–79 regular
2020-01-29 2020 Iowa State @ Baylor 62–83 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Kansas @ Iowa State 67–89 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Kansas State @ Iowa State 59–73 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 64–63 regular
2020-01-16 2020 TCU @ Iowa State 77–74 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Iowa State @ Oklahoma 72–81 regular
2020-01-07 2020 Texas @ Iowa State 81–75 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Iowa State @ Texas Tech 96–66 regular
2019-12-31 2020 North Alabama @ Iowa State 72–80 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Northern Iowa @ Iowa State 71–63 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Wright State @ Iowa State 71–79 regular
2019-12-12 2020 Iowa @ Iowa State 75–69 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Iowa State @ Alabama 75–66 regular
2019-12-01 2020 LSU New Orleans @ Iowa State 53–71 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Iowa State 40–90 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Iowa State @ North Dakota State 86–58 regular
2019-11-19 2020 Texas Southern @ Iowa State 59–79 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Iowa State @ Drake 81–86 regular
2019-11-08 2020 Southern @ Iowa State 36–69 regular