cbb·system

Nicholls Colonels

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.88 possessions per game 4.27

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nicholls AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.31 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222112 0.636

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNicholls auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-17 2022 Nicholls @ SMU 58–68 nit
2022-03-11 2022 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls N 71–64 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 New Orleans @ Nicholls 85–92 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 86–75 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Nicholls @ SE Louisiana 81–83 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Nicholls @ Northwestern State 80–62 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Houston Christian @ Nicholls 70–84 regular
2022-02-18 2022 McNeese @ Nicholls 73–82 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls 80–83 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 58–69 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 63–60 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Nicholls @ Houston Christian 73–61 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Nicholls @ McNeese 81–71 regular
2022-01-22 2022 SE Louisiana @ Nicholls 101–93 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Northwestern State @ Nicholls 58–69 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Nicholls @ New Orleans 66–78 regular
2022-01-09 2022 SE Louisiana @ Nicholls N 77–72 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls N 75–84 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word N 87–56 regular
2021-12-29 2022 Nicholls @ Purdue 90–104 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Nicholls @ Oregon State 61–83 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Mississippi Valley State @ Nicholls 73–104 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Nicholls @ Wisconsin 68–71 regular
2021-12-14 2022 Blue Mountain @ Nicholls 69–87 non_d1
2021-12-10 2022 Nicholls @ Mississippi Valley State 95–80 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Southwestern Christian @ Nicholls 58–87 non_d1
2021-11-24 2022 Utah Valley @ Nicholls N 74–63 regular
2021-11-22 2022 Nicholls @ Cal Poly N 75–72 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Nicholls @ TCU 50–63 regular
2021-11-15 2022 Nicholls @ Baylor 60–89 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Carver College @ Nicholls 44–101 non_d1
2021-11-13 2022 Carver College @ Nicholls 52–120 non_d1
2021-11-10 2022 Nicholls @ Northern Iowa 62–58 regular