cbb·system

Nicholls Colonels

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.00 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.64 possessions per game 4.39

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nicholls AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 57.70 to 77.45 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252013 0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNicholls auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-12 2025 Nicholls @ Lamar N 55–58 conf_tournament
2025-03-11 2025 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls N 70–74 conf_tournament
2025-03-04 2025 Nicholls @ Lamar 53–65 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Nicholls @ Stephen F. Austin 94–70 regular
2025-02-25 2025 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls 69–71 regular
2025-02-22 2025 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Nicholls 84–93 regular
2025-02-18 2025 Nicholls @ New Orleans 78–62 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Nicholls @ SE Louisiana 81–84 regular
2025-02-11 2025 Northwestern State @ Nicholls 72–60 regular
2025-02-08 2025 East Texas A&M @ Nicholls 65–81 regular
2025-02-04 2025 Houston Christian @ Nicholls 67–75 regular
2025-02-01 2025 McNeese @ Nicholls 63–71 regular
2025-01-28 2025 Nicholls @ UT Rio Grande Valley 82–75 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 57–61 regular
2025-01-20 2025 Lamar @ Nicholls 78–74 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls 61–73 regular
2025-01-14 2025 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 88–82 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Nicholls @ McNeese 71–80 regular
2025-01-07 2025 Nicholls @ East Texas A&M 83–61 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Nicholls @ Northwestern State 66–68 regular
2024-12-31 2025 Nicholls @ Seattle U 71–69 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Nicholls @ Gonzaga 72–102 regular
2024-12-11 2025 Southern-New Orleans @ Nicholls 66–110 non_d1
2024-12-07 2025 New Orleans @ Nicholls 70–73 regular
2024-12-06 2025 SE Louisiana @ Nicholls 64–67 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Nicholls @ Louisiana 76–75 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Mississippi College @ Nicholls 35–79 non_d1
2024-11-21 2025 Towson @ Nicholls 70–64 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Nicholls @ Cincinnati 49–86 regular
2024-11-15 2025 Nicholls @ Northern Kentucky 61–59 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Mississippi University For Women @ Nicholls 44–93 non_d1
2024-11-09 2025 South Alabama @ Nicholls 70–64 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Nicholls @ New Mexico 84–91 regular