Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

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Ratings · 2020

Dimension	Value	Unit	σ
OE	0.96	points per possession	0.13
DE	0.95	points per possession	0.13
ME	0.01	points per possession	0.19
PACE	72.70	possessions per game	4.38

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.41 to 0.38 over 45 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

Season	W	L	Pct
2020	16	15	0.516

Season

Pct

2020

0.516

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

Source	Name	Reviewed
espn_wbb	Northern Arizona	auto

Source

Name

Reviewed

espn_wbb

Northern Arizona

auto

Schedule & results

Date	S	Matchup	Score	Type
2020-03-11	2020	Northern Arizona @ Montana State N	71–76	conf_tournament
2020-03-10	2020	Northern Arizona @ Montana N	68–65	conf_tournament
2020-03-05	2020	Portland State @ Northern Arizona	68–63	regular
2020-02-29	2020	Northern Arizona @ Montana State	71–73	regular
2020-02-28	2020	Northern Arizona @ Montana	57–70	regular
2020-02-22	2020	Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona	58–63	regular
2020-02-21	2020	Idaho @ Northern Arizona	67–70	regular
2020-02-15	2020	Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah	64–82	regular
2020-02-14	2020	Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado	71–60	regular
2020-02-08	2020	Weber State @ Northern Arizona	61–92	regular
2020-02-07	2020	Idaho State @ Northern Arizona	79–76	regular
2020-02-04	2020	Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington	70–62	regular
2020-02-01	2020	Northern Arizona @ Idaho	71–70	regular
2020-01-28	2020	Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State	85–65	regular
2020-01-25	2020	Northern Arizona @ Portland State	54–66	regular
2020-01-18	2020	Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona	45–72	regular
2020-01-17	2020	Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona	76–84	regular
2020-01-11	2020	Northern Arizona @ Idaho State	70–59	regular
2020-01-10	2020	Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona	107–114	regular
2020-01-04	2020	Northern Arizona @ Weber State	88–82	regular
2019-12-31	2020	Montana State @ Northern Arizona	72–64	regular
2019-12-28	2020	Montana @ Northern Arizona	79–71	regular
2019-12-20	2020	San José State @ Northern Arizona N	64–67	regular
2019-12-19	2020	Northern Arizona @ Oregon State N	57–91	regular
2019-12-08	2020	UC Davis @ Northern Arizona	71–61	regular
2019-12-01	2020	Northern Arizona @ Houston Christian	79–62	regular
2019-11-30	2020	Northern Arizona @ Rice	57–71	regular
2019-11-24	2020	Northern Arizona @ Fresno State	66–83	regular
2019-11-21	2020	Northern Arizona @ California Baptist	79–98	regular
2019-11-16	2020	Seattle U @ Northern Arizona	80–88	regular
2019-11-09	2020	Northern Arizona @ New Mexico	76–83	regular