Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.07 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 72.08 | possessions per game | 4.52 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-07 19:00),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans -0.43 to 0.50 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | 10 | 0.714 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-27 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ South Dakota | 65–79 | other_postseason |
| 2024-03-13 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington N | 64–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-12 | 2024 | Montana @ Northern Arizona N | 67–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-10 | 2024 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona N | 63–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-05 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 67–61 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 41–73 | regular |
| 2024-03-01 | 2024 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 74–89 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 60–55 | regular |
| 2024-02-23 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 42–67 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | 73–89 | regular |
| 2024-02-16 | 2024 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 82–66 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 71–58 | regular |
| 2024-02-09 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 69–60 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 73–59 | regular |
| 2024-02-02 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 85–65 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 81–89 | regular |
| 2024-01-26 | 2024 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 53–65 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 83–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-19 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 73–65 | regular |
| 2024-01-13 | 2024 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 89–84 | regular |
| 2024-01-12 | 2024 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 73–88 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ North Dakota State | 73–99 | regular |
| 2024-01-04 | 2024 | South Dakota State @ Northern Arizona | 110–102 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 72–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 81–70 | regular |
| 2023-12-18 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine | 80–62 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ San Francisco | 92–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-06 | 2024 | Pacific @ Northern Arizona | 65–96 | regular |
| 2023-11-30 | 2024 | UNLV @ Northern Arizona | 85–69 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | Youngstown State @ Northern Arizona N | 70–74 | regular |
| 2023-11-24 | 2024 | Portland @ Northern Arizona N | 65–66 | regular |
| 2023-11-19 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ UC San Diego | 74–69 | regular |
| 2023-11-16 | 2024 | Benedictine Mesa @ Northern Arizona | 37–91 | non_d1 |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Arizona | 64–87 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Oregon | 48–81 | regular |