Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.05 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.61 | possessions per game | 5.02 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.68 to 1.27 over
52 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 15 | 14 | 0.517 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-21 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Stetson N | 51–48 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-20 | 2021 | Portland @ Northern Arizona N | 80–65 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-19 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Florida International N | 82–69 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho N | 53–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-09 | 2021 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona N | 68–82 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 80–97 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona | 56–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 68–85 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 70–82 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 56–58 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | postponed | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 73–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 75–76 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 51–75 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 81–84 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 54–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 65–90 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 56–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 76–89 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 83–74 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 65–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 66–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 66–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 62–84 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ UC Davis | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-18 | 2021 | UTEP @ Northern Arizona | 75–83 | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Grand Canyon | 58–66 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 69–55 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 89–60 | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Arizona | 63–76 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ UNLV | 79–75 | regular |