Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.11 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 75.09 | possessions per game | 4.56 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.65 to 1.35 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27 | 8 | 0.771 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Belmont | 80–81 | other_postseason |
| 2025-03-21 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Arizona | 71–69 | other_postseason |
| 2025-03-11 | 2025 | Montana @ Northern Arizona N | 71–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-09 | 2025 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona N | 65–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-04 | 2025 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 71–83 | regular |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 80–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 88–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-21 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 70–65 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 60–75 | regular |
| 2025-02-14 | 2025 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | 67–83 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 96–76 | regular |
| 2025-02-07 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 66–73 | regular |
| 2025-02-04 | 2025 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 76–81 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 52–68 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 76–106 | regular |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 63–75 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 76–53 | regular |
| 2025-01-17 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 75–70 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 87–81 | regular |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 46–65 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 92–78 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 79–71 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Grand Canyon | 70–79 | regular |
| 2024-12-20 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Fresno State | 55–66 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | San Francisco @ Northern Arizona | 83–92 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ South Dakota | 79–84 | regular |
| 2024-12-04 | 2025 | Oral Roberts @ Northern Arizona | 80–87 | regular |
| 2024-11-30 | 2025 | Tulane @ Northern Arizona N | 70–87 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ James Madison N | 85–83 | regular |
| 2024-11-24 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Colorado State | 84–80 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Arizona @ Northern Arizona | 75–92 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Pacific | 68–63 | regular |
| 2024-11-11 | 2025 | Fort Lewis @ Northern Arizona | 68–101 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-07 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ UNLV | 71–85 | regular |
| 2024-11-04 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ New Mexico | 80–78 | regular |