Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2015
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.67 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.66 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.01 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 74.10 | possessions per game | 4.31 |
At season 2015's latest cutoff
(2015-03-10 01:00),
with 27 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015.
Axis spans 64.01 to 83.57 over
32 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2015
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 13 | 17 | 0.433 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-03-11 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington N | 57–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2015-03-07 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 81–105 | regular |
| 2015-03-06 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 79–62 | regular |
| 2015-03-01 | 2015 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 88–67 | regular |
| 2015-02-27 | 2015 | North Dakota @ Northern Arizona | 68–72 | regular |
| 2015-02-21 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 42–73 | regular |
| 2015-02-20 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 43–78 | regular |
| 2015-02-14 | 2015 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 52–56 | regular |
| 2015-02-13 | 2015 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 47–64 | regular |
| 2015-02-07 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ North Dakota | 62–78 | regular |
| 2015-02-06 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 51–49 | regular |
| 2015-02-01 | 2015 | Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona | 64–73 | regular |
| 2015-01-25 | 2015 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 64–79 | regular |
| 2015-01-23 | 2015 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 69–42 | regular |
| 2015-01-17 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 68–69 | regular |
| 2015-01-16 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 53–66 | regular |
| 2015-01-11 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 53–63 | regular |
| 2015-01-03 | 2015 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | 46–94 | regular |
| 2015-01-01 | 2015 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 60–64 | regular |
| 2014-12-21 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ New Mexico | 37–56 | regular |
| 2014-12-19 | 2015 | Cal State Northridge @ Northern Arizona | 77–71 | regular |
| 2014-12-16 | 2015 | Pepperdine @ Northern Arizona | 66–63 | regular |
| 2014-12-13 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ Oregon | 47–59 | regular |
| 2014-12-04 | 2015 | Loyola Marymount @ Northern Arizona | 64–82 | regular |
| 2014-11-29 | 2015 | Fort Lewis @ Northern Arizona | 43–61 | non_d1 |
| 2014-11-27 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ UT Arlington | 62–80 | regular |
| 2014-11-23 | 2015 | UC Santa Barbara @ Northern Arizona | 49–67 | regular |
| 2014-11-20 | 2015 | Northern Arizona @ UTEP | 58–82 | regular |
| 2014-11-16 | 2015 | Western New Mexico @ Northern Arizona | 58–54 | non_d1 |
| 2014-11-15 | 2015 | UC Irvine @ Northern Arizona | 35–66 | regular |