Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.89 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.14 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 72.42 | possessions per game | 4.66 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans 62.17 to 87.61 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 7 | 23 | 0.233 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-06 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State N | 61–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-03-03 | 2018 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 98–83 | regular |
| 2018-03-01 | 2018 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 93–83 | regular |
| 2018-02-24 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 59–68 | regular |
| 2018-02-23 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 95–90 | regular |
| 2018-02-18 | 2018 | North Dakota @ Northern Arizona | 59–79 | regular |
| 2018-02-16 | 2018 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 85–63 | regular |
| 2018-02-10 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 72–55 | regular |
| 2018-02-03 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 65–77 | regular |
| 2018-02-02 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 59–76 | regular |
| 2018-01-28 | 2018 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 69–52 | regular |
| 2018-01-26 | 2018 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 78–56 | regular |
| 2018-01-20 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 68–83 | regular |
| 2018-01-19 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 62–82 | regular |
| 2018-01-14 | 2018 | Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona | 60–57 | regular |
| 2018-01-07 | 2018 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 75–55 | regular |
| 2018-01-05 | 2018 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 75–76 | regular |
| 2017-12-30 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 39–81 | regular |
| 2017-12-29 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 62–70 | regular |
| 2017-12-19 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Cal State Northridge | 69–78 | regular |
| 2017-12-16 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Youngstown State | 67–69 | regular |
| 2017-12-14 | 2018 | Grand Canyon @ Northern Arizona | 72–54 | regular |
| 2017-12-09 | 2018 | Cal Poly @ Northern Arizona | 89–73 | regular |
| 2017-12-08 | 2018 | Arizona @ Northern Arizona | 66–84 | regular |
| 2017-12-03 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Denver | 73–80 | regular |
| 2017-11-28 | 2018 | Antelope Valley @ Northern Arizona | 49–104 | non_d1 |
| 2017-11-20 | 2018 | Boise State @ Northern Arizona N | 60–62 | regular |
| 2017-11-18 | 2018 | Northern Arizona @ Hawai'i | 68–84 | regular |
| 2017-11-12 | 2018 | Rice @ Northern Arizona | 88–83 | regular |
| 2017-11-11 | 2018 | UC Santa Barbara @ Northern Arizona | 96–93 | regular |