UMBC Retrievers
mens
Am. East
canonical name from espn_mbb
#16 Play-in (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.09 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.13 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.03 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.77 | possessions per game | 4.72 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.83 to 1.44 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 9 | 0.727 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | UMBC | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | 2026 | UMBC @ Howard N | 83–86 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Vermont @ UMBC | 59–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-10 | 2026 | UMass Lowell @ UMBC | 69–91 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | New Hampshire @ UMBC | 69–84 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026 | UMBC @ NJIT | 91–52 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | UMBC @ UMass Lowell | 84–60 | regular |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026 | Bryant @ UMBC | 58–70 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | UAlbany @ UMBC | 62–66 | regular |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026 | Vermont @ UMBC | 62–75 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | UMBC @ New Hampshire | 85–63 | regular |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026 | UMBC @ Maine | 78–62 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | Binghamton @ UMBC | 62–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026 | UMBC @ UAlbany | 68–65 | regular |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026 | UMBC @ Vermont | 55–64 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | UMass Lowell @ UMBC | 56–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026 | NJIT @ UMBC | 74–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026 | UMBC @ Binghamton | 78–60 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | UMBC @ Bryant | 74–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | New Hampshire @ UMBC | 74–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-08 | 2026 | Maine @ UMBC | 62–69 | regular |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026 | UMBC @ Coppin State | 93–59 | regular |
| 2025-12-21 | 2026 | UMBC @ South Florida | 69–94 | regular |
| 2025-12-12 | 2026 | Army @ UMBC | 63–60 | regular |
| 2025-12-09 | 2026 | Buffalo @ UMBC | 83–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | UMBC @ Bucknell | 73–66 | regular |
| 2025-12-04 | 2026 | UMBC @ Georgetown | 81–90 | regular |
| 2025-11-29 | 2026 | Delaware State @ UMBC | 57–71 | regular |
| 2025-11-24 | 2026 | Notre Dame (Md) @ UMBC | 52–102 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | UMBC @ George Washington | 52–89 | regular |
| 2025-11-16 | 2026 | Wagner @ UMBC | 70–71 | regular |
| 2025-11-11 | 2026 | UMBC @ Morgan State | 81–79 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | UMBC @ Dayton | 71–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Penn State-York @ UMBC | 53–74 | non_d1 |