UMBC Retrievers
mens
Am. East
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.99 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.02 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 67.37 | possessions per game | 4.63 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-06 01:20),
with 22 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.40 to 0.52 over
111 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 14 | 6 | 0.700 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | UMBC | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | UMass Lowell @ UMBC | 79–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Vermont @ UMBC | 55–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Vermont @ UMBC | 80–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-08 | 2021 | UMBC @ Stony Brook | 60–48 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | UMBC @ Stony Brook | 71–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | UMBC @ NJIT | 75–71 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | UMBC @ NJIT | 65–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Hartford @ UMBC | 49–57 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Hartford @ UMBC | 70–63 | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | UMBC @ New Hampshire | 68–66 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | UMBC @ New Hampshire | 69–54 | regular |
| 2020-12-28 | 2021 | Binghamton @ UMBC | 75–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-27 | 2021 | Binghamton @ UMBC | 67–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | UMBC @ UAlbany | 65–60 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | UMBC @ UAlbany | 65–64 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | UMBC @ Coppin State | 66–49 | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | UMBC @ Mount St. Mary's | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-08 | 2021 | Delaware @ UMBC | 61–76 | regular |
| 2020-12-07 | 2021 | George Washington @ UMBC | 81–92 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Towson @ UMBC | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | UMBC @ St. Francis (PA) | 80–65 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | UMBC @ Georgetown | 62–70 | regular |