cbb·system

Southern Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.66 possessions per game 4.48

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.23 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouthern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-11 2022 Southern @ Jackson State N 46–59 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Texas Southern @ Southern N 67–68 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Southern @ Alabama A&M 67–73 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Southern @ Alabama State 46–64 regular
2022-02-28 2022 Florida A&M @ Southern 43–66 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Bethune-Cookman @ Southern 51–65 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Grambling @ Southern 49–59 regular
2022-02-14 2022 Southern @ Texas Southern 77–87 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Southern @ Prairie View A&M 55–62 regular
2022-02-07 2022 Alabama State @ Southern 61–58 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Alabama A&M @ Southern 58–65 regular
2022-01-31 2022 Southern @ Jackson State 58–66 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Southern @ Alcorn State 65–40 regular
2022-01-24 2022 Mississippi Valley State @ Southern 58–67 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern 64–78 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Southern @ Grambling 46–55 regular
2022-01-10 2022 Southern @ Bethune-Cookman 74–47 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Southern @ Florida A&M 71–55 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Prairie View A&M @ Southern 52–89 regular
2022-01-03 2022 Texas Southern @ Southern 60–70 regular
2021-12-21 2022 Southern @ Missouri 54–73 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Southern @ Missouri State 43–72 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Southern @ Oklahoma State 33–75 regular
2021-12-13 2022 Southern @ North Texas 49–65 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Wiley @ Southern 56–76 non_d1
2021-12-08 2022 LSU Shreveport @ Southern 41–69 non_d1
2021-12-04 2022 Southern @ Memphis 50–57 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Southern @ Iowa State 55–96 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Southern @ Iowa 67–87 regular
2021-11-15 2022 Southern @ Marquette 40–65 regular
2021-11-12 2022 Southern @ Texas A&M 32–92 regular