cbb·system

Southern Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.48 possessions per game 4.99

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.30 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252115 0.583

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouthern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-22 2025 Southern @ UCLA 46–84 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-20 2025 Southern @ UC San Diego N 68–56 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Alcorn State @ Southern N 44–64 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Jackson State @ Southern N 47–51 conf_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Mississippi Valley State @ Southern N 43–63 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Alabama A&M @ Southern 48–35 regular
2025-03-06 2025 Alabama State @ Southern 38–61 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Southern @ Bethune-Cookman 62–54 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Southern @ Florida A&M 65–63 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Southern @ Grambling 70–47 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Prairie View A&M @ Southern 42–86 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Texas Southern @ Southern 53–63 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Southern @ Alabama A&M 50–44 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Southern @ Alabama State 48–33 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Alcorn State @ Southern 59–55 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Jackson State @ Southern 47–64 regular
2025-01-27 2025 Southern @ Mississippi Valley State 71–51 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 52–36 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Grambling @ Southern 53–59 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Florida A&M @ Southern 61–77 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Bethune-Cookman @ Southern 56–73 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Southern @ Texas Southern 51–55 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Southern @ Prairie View A&M 60–48 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Southern @ Illinois 57–69 regular
2024-12-18 2025 Southern @ DePaul 64–76 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Jarvis Christian @ Southern 47–83 non_d1
2024-12-12 2025 Southern @ Texas 39–97 regular
2024-12-06 2025 Southern New Orleans @ Southern 34–89 non_d1
2024-11-27 2025 Washington @ Southern N 61–43 regular
2024-11-25 2025 NC State @ Southern N 77–47 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Southern @ Colorado State 47–78 regular
2024-11-18 2025 Southern @ Colorado 45–65 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Southern @ Nebraska 58–84 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Southern @ Iowa State 56–84 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Southern @ Missouri 51–66 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Southern @ Oklahoma 44–76 regular