cbb·system

Southern Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.36 possessions per game 4.72

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.77 to 0.34 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201614 0.533

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouthern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 Southern @ Texas Southern N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-10 2020 Prairie View A&M @ Southern 55–59 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Prairie View A&M @ Southern 51–63 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Texas Southern @ Southern 56–59 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Southern @ Alcorn State 53–58 regular
2020-02-24 2020 Southern @ Alabama A&M 57–59 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Southern @ Alabama State 61–51 regular
2020-02-17 2020 Mississippi Valley State @ Southern 40–71 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern 61–85 regular
2020-02-10 2020 Southern @ Jackson State 57–60 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Southern @ Grambling 70–51 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Alcorn State @ Southern 57–74 regular
2020-01-27 2020 Alabama A&M @ Southern 46–55 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Alabama State @ Southern 47–69 regular
2020-01-20 2020 Southern @ Mississippi Valley State 84–54 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 70–43 regular
2020-01-13 2020 Jackson State @ Southern 72–51 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Grambling @ Southern 57–81 regular
2020-01-06 2020 Southern @ Prairie View A&M 68–48 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Southern @ Texas Southern 56–61 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Southern @ UNC Asheville N 34–53 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Southern @ Washington State N 54–69 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Southern @ Oklahoma State 59–72 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Southern @ Fordham 52–65 regular
2019-12-13 2020 Southern @ Rutgers 58–78 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Southern @ Texas 39–93 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Southern @ Nebraska 39–73 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Southern @ Wichita State 63–69 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Tougaloo @ Southern 39–100 non_d1
2019-11-12 2020 Wiley @ Southern 55–78 non_d1
2019-11-08 2020 Southern @ Iowa State 36–69 regular