cbb·system

Southern Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.78 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.87 possessions per game 4.95

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.28 to 1.70 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192013 0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouthern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-23 2019 Southern @ Mississippi State 46–103 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-16 2019 Jackson State @ Southern N 41–45 conf_tournament
2019-03-15 2019 Grambling @ Southern N 69–71 conf_tournament
2019-03-13 2019 Mississippi Valley State @ Southern 44–51 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Southern @ Texas Southern 60–49 regular
2019-03-07 2019 Southern @ Prairie View A&M 52–63 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Alcorn State @ Southern 39–51 regular
2019-02-25 2019 Alabama State @ Southern 52–62 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Alabama A&M @ Southern 60–68 regular
2019-02-18 2019 Southern @ Mississippi Valley State 67–46 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 56–45 regular
2019-02-11 2019 Jackson State @ Southern 59–52 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Grambling @ Southern 65–71 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Southern @ Alcorn State 75–54 regular
2019-01-28 2019 Southern @ Alabama State 61–78 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Southern @ Alabama A&M 54–50 regular
2019-01-21 2019 Mississippi Valley State @ Southern 67–74 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern 41–73 regular
2019-01-14 2019 Southern @ Jackson State 76–74 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Southern @ Grambling 86–81 regular
2019-01-07 2019 Texas Southern @ Southern 61–63 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Prairie View A&M @ Southern 55–54 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Southern @ Michigan 35–76 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Southern @ Texas Tech 58–76 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Southern @ TCU 40–69 regular
2018-12-10 2019 Louisiana Christian @ Southern 53–77 non_d1
2018-12-08 2019 Southern @ Arizona State 47–69 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Dillard @ Southern 63–61 non_d1
2018-11-19 2019 South Alabama @ Southern 53–49 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Southern @ Baylor 49–94 regular
2018-11-12 2019 Southern @ Kentucky 41–91 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Wiley @ Southern 58–89 non_d1
2018-11-06 2019 Millsaps @ Southern 36–71 non_d1