cbb·system

South Alabama Jaguars

mens Sun Belt canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.87 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Alabama AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.36 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSouth Alabama auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-09 2025 Arkansas State @ South Alabama N 74–71 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Louisiana @ South Alabama 42–65 regular
2025-02-27 2025 South Alabama @ Southern Miss 88–82 regular
2025-02-22 2025 South Alabama @ Texas State 92–93 regular
2025-02-20 2025 South Alabama @ Arkansas State 60–56 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Texas State @ South Alabama 65–70 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Marshall @ South Alabama 82–91 regular
2025-02-08 2025 South Alabama @ Akron 65–80 regular
2025-02-06 2025 South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina 84–59 regular
2025-02-02 2025 South Alabama @ Louisiana 62–58 regular
2025-01-31 2025 UL Monroe @ South Alabama 62–58 regular
2025-01-28 2025 South Alabama @ UL Monroe 66–77 regular
2025-01-25 2025 South Alabama @ Troy 55–65 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Troy @ South Alabama 63–64 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Southern Miss @ South Alabama 62–75 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Old Dominion @ South Alabama 71–63 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 62–76 regular
2025-01-04 2025 South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 76–47 regular
2025-01-03 2025 South Alabama @ Georgia State 77–51 regular
2024-12-31 2025 Mobile @ South Alabama 41–106 non_d1
2024-12-21 2025 James Madison @ South Alabama 49–77 regular
2024-12-17 2025 South Alabama @ TCU 49–58 regular
2024-12-15 2025 South Alabama @ East Texas A&M 81–72 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Jacksonville State @ South Alabama 74–76 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Alcorn State @ South Alabama 65–74 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Western Illinois @ South Alabama 64–63 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Incarnate Word @ South Alabama 63–84 regular
2024-11-19 2025 Spring Hill @ South Alabama 61–95 non_d1
2024-11-16 2025 Mercer @ South Alabama 66–75 regular
2024-11-13 2025 South Alabama @ Ole Miss 54–64 regular
2024-11-09 2025 South Alabama @ Nicholls 70–64 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Central Michigan @ South Alabama 74–70 regular