cbb·system

Baylor Bears

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #3 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.21 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.85 possessions per game 4.35

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Baylor AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.28 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBaylor auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Creighton @ Baylor N 85–76 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 UC Santa Barbara @ Baylor N 56–74 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Iowa State @ Baylor N 78–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Iowa State @ Baylor 73–58 regular
2023-02-28 2023 Baylor @ Oklahoma State 74–68 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Texas @ Baylor 72–81 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Baylor @ Kansas State 65–75 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Baylor @ Kansas 71–87 regular
2023-02-14 2023 West Virginia @ Baylor 67–79 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Baylor @ TCU 72–68 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Oklahoma @ Baylor 72–82 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Texas Tech @ Baylor 62–89 regular
2023-01-31 2023 Baylor @ Texas 71–76 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Arkansas @ Baylor 64–67 regular
2023-01-24 2023 Kansas @ Baylor 69–75 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Baylor @ Oklahoma 62–60 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Baylor @ Texas Tech 81–74 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Oklahoma State @ Baylor 58–74 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Baylor @ West Virginia 83–78 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Kansas State @ Baylor 97–95 regular
2023-01-05 2023 TCU @ Baylor 88–87 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Baylor @ Iowa State 62–77 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Nicholls @ Baylor 56–85 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Northwestern State @ Baylor 48–58 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Washington State @ Baylor N 59–65 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Tarleton State @ Baylor 57–80 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Baylor @ Gonzaga N 64–63 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Baylor @ Marquette 70–96 regular
2022-11-23 2023 McNeese @ Baylor 60–89 regular
2022-11-20 2023 UCLA @ Baylor N 75–80 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Virginia @ Baylor N 86–79 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Northern Colorado @ Baylor 62–95 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Norfolk State @ Baylor 70–87 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Mississippi Valley State @ Baylor 53–117 regular