cbb·system

Baylor Bears

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #3 Round of 32 (out) 2024

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.28 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.27 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.33 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Baylor AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.28 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242411 0.686

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBaylor auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-24 2024 Clemson @ Baylor N 72–64 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-22 2024 Colgate @ Baylor N 67–92 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-16 2024 Baylor @ Iowa State N 62–76 conf_tournament
2024-03-15 2024 Cincinnati @ Baylor N 56–68 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 Baylor @ Texas Tech 68–78 regular
2024-03-05 2024 Texas @ Baylor 85–93 regular
2024-03-02 2024 Kansas @ Baylor 74–82 regular
2024-02-27 2024 Baylor @ TCU 62–54 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Houston @ Baylor 82–76 regular
2024-02-21 2024 Baylor @ BYU 71–78 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Baylor @ West Virginia 94–81 regular
2024-02-14 2024 Oklahoma @ Baylor 62–79 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Baylor @ Kansas 61–64 regular
2024-02-07 2024 Texas Tech @ Baylor 73–79 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Iowa State @ Baylor 68–70 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Baylor @ UCF 77–69 regular
2024-01-27 2024 TCU @ Baylor 105–102 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Baylor @ Texas 73–75 regular
2024-01-17 2024 Baylor @ Kansas State 64–68 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Cincinnati @ Baylor 59–62 regular
2024-01-10 2024 BYU @ Baylor 72–81 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Baylor @ Oklahoma State 75–70 regular
2024-01-03 2024 Cornell @ Baylor 79–98 regular
2023-12-23 2024 Mississippi Valley State @ Baylor 48–107 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Baylor @ Duke N 70–78 regular
2023-12-16 2024 Baylor @ Michigan State N 64–88 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Seton Hall @ Baylor 60–78 regular
2023-12-02 2024 Northwestern State @ Baylor 40–91 regular
2023-11-29 2024 Nicholls @ Baylor 70–108 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Baylor @ Florida N 95–91 regular
2023-11-23 2024 Baylor @ Oregon State N 88–72 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Kansas City @ Baylor 61–99 regular
2023-11-12 2024 Gardner-Webb @ Baylor 62–77 regular
2023-11-09 2024 John Brown @ Baylor 70–96 non_d1
2023-11-08 2024 Auburn @ Baylor N 82–88 regular