cbb·system

Baylor Bears

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #1 Round of 32 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.22 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.31 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.30 possessions per game 4.48

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Baylor AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 58.07 to 80.79 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022277 0.794

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBaylor auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-19 2022 North Carolina @ Baylor N 93–86 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-17 2022 Norfolk State @ Baylor N 49–85 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 Oklahoma @ Baylor N 72–67 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Iowa State @ Baylor 68–75 regular
2022-03-01 2022 Baylor @ Texas 68–61 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Kansas @ Baylor 70–80 regular
2022-02-22 2022 Baylor @ Oklahoma State 66–64 regular
2022-02-19 2022 TCU @ Baylor 62–72 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Baylor @ Texas Tech 73–83 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Texas @ Baylor 63–80 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Baylor @ Kansas State 75–60 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Baylor @ Kansas 59–83 regular
2022-02-01 2022 West Virginia @ Baylor 77–81 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Baylor @ Alabama 78–87 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Kansas State @ Baylor 49–74 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Baylor @ Oklahoma 65–51 regular
2022-01-18 2022 Baylor @ West Virginia 77–68 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Oklahoma State @ Baylor 61–54 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Texas Tech @ Baylor 65–62 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Baylor @ TCU 76–64 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Oklahoma @ Baylor 74–84 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Baylor @ Iowa State 77–72 regular
2021-12-29 2022 Northwestern State @ Baylor 68–104 regular
2021-12-21 2022 Alcorn State @ Baylor 57–94 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Baylor @ Oregon 78–70 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Villanova @ Baylor 36–57 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Baylor 54–99 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Baylor @ Michigan State N 75–58 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Baylor @ VCU N 69–61 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Arizona State @ Baylor N 63–75 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Stanford @ Baylor 48–86 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Central Arkansas @ Baylor 47–92 regular
2021-11-15 2022 Nicholls @ Baylor 60–89 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Incarnate Word @ Baylor 60–87 regular