cbb·system

Furman Paladins

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.32 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Furman AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.24 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201912 0.613

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFurman auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-06 2020 Furman @ Samford N 45–75 conf_tournament
2020-03-05 2020 Wofford @ Furman N 54–68 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 Wofford @ Furman 56–62 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Furman @ UNC Greensboro 53–61 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Furman @ Western Carolina 69–59 regular
2020-02-15 2020 East Tennessee State @ Furman 47–67 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Chattanooga @ Furman 69–63 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Furman @ Mercer 55–61 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Furman @ Samford 72–59 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Furman @ Wofford 62–66 regular
2020-01-28 2020 Bob Jones @ Furman 24–88 non_d1
2020-01-25 2020 Western Carolina @ Furman 53–69 regular
2020-01-24 2020 UNC Greensboro @ Furman 59–53 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Furman @ Chattanooga 52–60 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Furman @ East Tennessee State 81–62 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Samford @ Furman 69–77 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Mercer @ Furman 49–62 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Newberry @ Furman 43–62 non_d1
2019-12-31 2020 Elon @ Furman 87–76 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Furman @ Saint Joseph's N 63–48 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Furman @ Florida Atlantic 69–63 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Furman @ Georgia 48–77 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Furman @ Richmond 70–69 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Georgia State @ Furman 55–62 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Furman @ Gardner-Webb 72–67 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Furman @ Middle Tennessee 62–78 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Furman @ Vanderbilt 46–74 regular
2019-11-19 2020 Hampton @ Furman 65–70 regular
2019-11-14 2020 North Greenville @ Furman 51–88 non_d1
2019-11-10 2020 Georgia Southern @ Furman 63–78 regular
2019-11-07 2020 Furman @ Clemson 71–77 regular