cbb·system

Nevada Wolf Pack

mens Mountain West canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Play-in (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.32 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nevada AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 56.11 to 75.75 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNevada auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-16 2023 Nevada @ Arizona State N 73–98 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 San José State @ Nevada N 81–77 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 UNLV @ Nevada 69–67 regular
2023-02-28 2023 Nevada @ Wyoming 71–80 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Nevada @ Fresno State 60–56 regular
2023-02-22 2023 San José State @ Nevada 51–66 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Nevada @ Utah State 66–75 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Fresno State @ Nevada 66–77 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Nevada @ New Mexico 77–76 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Air Force @ Nevada 52–72 regular
2023-02-01 2023 San Diego State @ Nevada 66–75 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Nevada @ UNLV 62–68 regular
2023-01-24 2023 New Mexico @ Nevada 94–97 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Nevada @ Boise State 62–77 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Utah State @ Nevada 70–85 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Nevada @ San Diego State 65–74 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Nevada @ San José State 67–40 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Colorado State @ Nevada 69–80 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Nevada @ Air Force 75–69 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Boise State @ Nevada 72–74 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Norfolk State @ Nevada 66–78 regular
2022-12-15 2023 UC San Diego @ Nevada 56–64 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Nevada @ Oregon 65–78 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Nevada @ Pepperdine 85–77 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Nevada @ Loyola Marymount 52–64 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Sam Houston @ Nevada 60–78 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Akron @ Nevada N 58–62 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Nevada @ Kansas State N 87–96 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Nevada @ Tulane N 75–66 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Nevada @ UT Arlington 62–43 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Jessup University @ Nevada 54–98 non_d1
2022-11-12 2023 Grand Canyon @ Nevada 46–59 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Utah Tech @ Nevada 71–84 regular