cbb·system

TCU Horned Frogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.55 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

TCU AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.51 to 1.10 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020227 0.759

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTCU auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 TBD @ TCU N canceled non_d1
2020-03-07 2020 TCU @ West Virginia 77–63 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Oklahoma @ TCU 71–96 regular
2020-03-01 2020 TCU @ Texas Tech 83–87 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Texas @ TCU 77–67 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Oklahoma State @ TCU 37–49 regular
2020-02-20 2020 TCU @ Kansas State 54–52 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Iowa State @ TCU 72–82 regular
2020-02-13 2020 TCU @ Baylor 62–81 regular
2020-02-08 2020 TCU @ Kansas 87–74 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Kansas State @ TCU 61–65 regular
2020-01-30 2020 TCU @ Oklahoma State 72–68 regular
2020-01-27 2020 West Virginia @ TCU 60–73 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Baylor @ TCU 66–57 regular
2020-01-19 2020 TCU @ Oklahoma 82–63 regular
2020-01-16 2020 TCU @ Iowa State 77–74 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Kansas @ TCU 59–73 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Texas Tech @ TCU 80–76 regular
2020-01-04 2020 TCU @ Texas 65–63 regular
2019-12-29 2020 TCU @ Middle Tennessee 70–82 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Texas State @ TCU 52–79 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Ohio @ TCU 72–79 regular
2019-12-12 2020 TCU @ Texas A&M 68–70 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Auburn @ TCU 65–80 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Boise State @ TCU 65–77 regular
2019-11-26 2020 TCU @ Army 66–52 regular
2019-11-21 2020 TCU @ SMU 57–56 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Nicholls @ TCU 47–72 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Cornell @ TCU 49–59 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Robert Morris @ TCU 61–66 regular