cbb·system

TCU Horned Frogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.87 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

TCU AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 51.07 to 129.17 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTCU auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-10 2023 TCU @ Oklahoma N 76–77 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 TCU @ Kansas N 57–52 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Kansas @ TCU 84–61 regular
2023-03-02 2023 TCU @ Texas Tech 49–66 regular
2023-02-25 2023 TCU @ Iowa State 56–84 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Baylor @ TCU 67–57 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Kansas State @ TCU 62–75 regular
2023-02-11 2023 TCU @ Texas 50–70 regular
2023-02-09 2023 TCU @ Kansas 55–73 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Oklahoma State @ TCU 77–65 regular
2023-02-01 2023 TCU @ Oklahoma 78–101 regular
2023-01-28 2023 West Virginia @ TCU 62–55 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Iowa State @ TCU 75–35 regular
2023-01-22 2023 TCU @ Kansas State 48–64 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Oklahoma @ TCU 93–66 regular
2023-01-14 2023 TCU @ Oklahoma State 70–80 regular
2023-01-11 2023 TCU @ West Virginia 45–77 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Texas Tech @ TCU 78–70 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Texas @ TCU 81–69 regular
2022-12-31 2023 TCU @ Baylor 42–64 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Nicholls @ TCU 32–75 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Grambling @ TCU 45–56 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Missouri State @ TCU 63–59 regular
2022-12-06 2023 George Washington @ TCU 58–70 regular
2022-12-03 2023 TCU @ Rice 58–68 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Incarnate Word @ TCU 33–60 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Sam Houston @ TCU 60–54 regular
2022-11-20 2023 South Florida @ TCU 66–59 regular
2022-11-17 2023 UTSA @ TCU 67–74 regular
2022-11-12 2023 TCU @ North Carolina 48–75 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Lipscomb @ TCU 62–69 regular