cbb·system

Kentucky Wildcats

mens SEC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.20 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Kentucky AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.53 to 1.23 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021916 0.360

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdKentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-11 2021 Mississippi State @ Kentucky N 74–73 conf_tournament
2021-03-06 2021 South Carolina @ Kentucky 64–92 regular
2021-03-03 2021 Kentucky @ Ole Miss 62–70 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Florida @ Kentucky 71–67 regular
2021-02-24 2021 Texas A&M @ Kentucky canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Kentucky @ Tennessee 70–55 regular
2021-02-18 2021 Kentucky @ Vanderbilt 82–78 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Auburn @ Kentucky 80–82 regular
2021-02-10 2021 Arkansas @ Kentucky 81–80 regular
2021-02-07 2021 Tennessee @ Kentucky 82–71 regular
2021-02-04 2021 Kentucky @ Missouri 70–75 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Texas @ Kentucky canceled regular
2021-01-27 2021 Kentucky @ Alabama 59–70 regular
2021-01-23 2021 LSU @ Kentucky 69–82 regular
2021-01-21 2021 Kentucky @ Georgia 62–63 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Kentucky @ Auburn 59–66 regular
2021-01-13 2021 Alabama @ Kentucky 85–65 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Kentucky @ Florida 76–58 regular
2021-01-06 2021 Vanderbilt @ Kentucky 74–77 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Kentucky @ Mississippi State 78–73 regular
2020-12-30 2021 South Carolina @ Kentucky scheduled regular
2020-12-26 2021 Kentucky @ Louisville 59–62 regular
2020-12-19 2021 North Carolina @ Kentucky N 75–63 regular
2020-12-15 2021 Detroit Mercy @ Kentucky canceled regular
2020-12-12 2021 Notre Dame @ Kentucky 64–63 regular
2020-12-06 2021 Kentucky @ Georgia Tech 62–79 regular
2020-12-02 2021 Kansas @ Kentucky N 65–62 regular
2020-11-29 2021 Richmond @ Kentucky 76–64 regular
2020-11-27 2021 Detroit Mercy @ Kentucky canceled regular
2020-11-25 2021 Morehead State @ Kentucky 45–81 regular