cbb·system

Kentucky Wildcats

mens SEC canonical name from espn_mbb #3 Sweet 16 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.25 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.26 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.29 possessions per game 4.23

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Kentucky AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.29 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252412 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdKentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-28 2025 Kentucky @ Tennessee N 65–78 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-23 2025 Illinois @ Kentucky N 75–84 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 Troy @ Kentucky N 57–76 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Kentucky @ Alabama N 70–99 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Oklahoma @ Kentucky N 84–85 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Kentucky @ Missouri 91–83 regular
2025-03-05 2025 LSU @ Kentucky 64–95 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Auburn @ Kentucky 94–78 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Kentucky @ Oklahoma 83–82 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Kentucky @ Alabama 83–96 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Vanderbilt @ Kentucky 61–82 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Kentucky @ Texas 78–82 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Tennessee @ Kentucky 64–75 regular
2025-02-08 2025 South Carolina @ Kentucky 57–80 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Kentucky @ Ole Miss 84–98 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Arkansas @ Kentucky 89–79 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Kentucky @ Tennessee 78–73 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Kentucky @ Vanderbilt 69–74 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Alabama @ Kentucky 102–97 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Texas A&M @ Kentucky 69–81 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Kentucky @ Mississippi State 95–90 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Kentucky @ Georgia 69–82 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Florida @ Kentucky 100–106 regular
2024-12-31 2025 Brown @ Kentucky 54–88 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Kentucky @ Ohio State N 65–85 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Louisville @ Kentucky 85–93 regular
2024-12-12 2025 Colgate @ Kentucky 67–78 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Kentucky @ Gonzaga N 90–89 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Kentucky @ Clemson 66–70 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Georgia State @ Kentucky 76–105 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Western Kentucky @ Kentucky 68–87 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Jackson State @ Kentucky 59–108 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Lipscomb @ Kentucky 68–97 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Duke @ Kentucky N 72–77 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Bucknell @ Kentucky 72–100 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Wright State @ Kentucky 62–103 regular