cbb·system

Kentucky Wildcats

mens SEC canonical name from espn_mbb #6 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.18 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.13 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Kentucky AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.84 to 1.46 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdKentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Kentucky @ Kansas State N 69–75 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 Providence @ Kentucky N 53–61 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Vanderbilt @ Kentucky N 80–73 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Kentucky @ Arkansas 88–79 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Vanderbilt @ Kentucky 68–66 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Auburn @ Kentucky 54–86 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Kentucky @ Florida 82–74 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Tennessee @ Kentucky 54–66 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Kentucky @ Mississippi State 71–68 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Kentucky @ Georgia 68–75 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Arkansas @ Kentucky 88–73 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Florida @ Kentucky 67–72 regular
2023-02-01 2023 Kentucky @ Ole Miss 75–66 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Kansas @ Kentucky 77–68 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Kentucky @ Vanderbilt 69–53 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Texas A&M @ Kentucky 67–76 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Georgia @ Kentucky 71–85 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Kentucky @ Tennessee 63–56 regular
2023-01-11 2023 South Carolina @ Kentucky 71–68 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Kentucky @ Alabama 52–78 regular
2023-01-04 2023 LSU @ Kentucky 71–74 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Louisville @ Kentucky 63–86 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Kentucky @ Missouri 75–89 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Florida A&M @ Kentucky 68–88 regular
2022-12-17 2023 UCLA @ Kentucky N 63–53 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Yale @ Kentucky 59–69 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Michigan @ Kentucky N 69–73 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Bellarmine @ Kentucky 41–60 regular
2022-11-23 2023 North Florida @ Kentucky 56–96 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Kentucky @ Gonzaga 72–88 regular
2022-11-18 2023 South Carolina State @ Kentucky 63–106 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Kentucky @ Michigan State N 77–86 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Duquesne @ Kentucky 52–77 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Howard @ Kentucky 63–95 regular