cbb·system

Kentucky Wildcats

mens SEC canonical name from espn_mbb #3 Round of 64 (out) 2024

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.24 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.65 possessions per game 4.23

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Kentucky AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 59.36 to 82.76 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdKentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-21 2024 Oakland @ Kentucky N 80–76 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-15 2024 Texas A&M @ Kentucky N 97–87 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 Kentucky @ Tennessee 85–81 regular
2024-03-07 2024 Vanderbilt @ Kentucky 77–93 regular
2024-03-02 2024 Arkansas @ Kentucky 102–111 regular
2024-02-28 2024 Kentucky @ Mississippi State 91–89 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Alabama @ Kentucky 95–117 regular
2024-02-22 2024 Kentucky @ LSU 74–75 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Kentucky @ Auburn 70–59 regular
2024-02-14 2024 Ole Miss @ Kentucky 63–75 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Gonzaga @ Kentucky 89–85 regular
2024-02-07 2024 Kentucky @ Vanderbilt 109–77 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Tennessee @ Kentucky 103–92 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Florida @ Kentucky 94–91 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Kentucky @ Arkansas 63–57 regular
2024-01-24 2024 Kentucky @ South Carolina 62–79 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Georgia @ Kentucky 96–105 regular
2024-01-18 2024 Mississippi State @ Kentucky 77–90 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Kentucky @ Texas A&M 92–97 regular
2024-01-10 2024 Missouri @ Kentucky 77–90 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Kentucky @ Florida 87–85 regular
2023-12-30 2024 Illinois State @ Kentucky 70–96 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Kentucky @ Louisville 95–76 regular
2023-12-16 2024 North Carolina @ Kentucky N 83–87 regular
2023-12-09 2024 Pennsylvania @ Kentucky N 66–81 regular
2023-12-02 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Kentucky 80–73 regular
2023-11-29 2024 Miami @ Kentucky 73–95 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Marshall @ Kentucky 82–118 regular
2023-11-21 2024 Saint Joseph's @ Kentucky 88–96 regular
2023-11-18 2024 Stonehill @ Kentucky 67–101 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Kentucky @ Kansas N 84–89 regular
2023-11-11 2024 East Texas A&M @ Kentucky 61–81 regular
2023-11-07 2024 New Mexico State @ Kentucky 46–86 regular