cbb·system

Liberty Flames

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Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.75 possessions per game 4.63

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.70 to 1.30 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-05 2022 Bellarmine @ Liberty 53–50 conf_tournament
2022-03-04 2022 Lipscomb @ Liberty 47–52 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Kennesaw State @ Liberty 93–100 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Florida Gulf Coast @ Liberty 82–72 regular
2022-02-22 2022 Liberty @ Central Arkansas 85–66 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Stetson @ Liberty 82–88 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Liberty @ North Florida 69–72 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Liberty @ Jacksonville 69–73 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Lipscomb @ Liberty 69–78 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Liberty @ Eastern Kentucky 91–84 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Liberty @ Bellarmine 66–53 regular
2022-02-01 2022 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 65–50 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Jacksonville State @ Liberty 77–67 regular
2022-01-28 2022 North Alabama @ Liberty 53–72 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Liberty @ Central Arkansas scheduled regular
2022-01-21 2022 Liberty @ Kennesaw State scheduled regular
2022-01-19 2022 Jacksonville @ Liberty 49–88 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast 78–75 regular
2022-01-12 2022 North Florida @ Liberty 56–71 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Kennesaw State @ Liberty scheduled regular
2022-01-05 2022 Liberty @ Stetson 75–59 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Boyce @ Liberty 60–91 non_d1
2021-12-25 2022 Liberty @ BYU N 75–80 regular
2021-12-23 2022 Liberty @ Stanford N 76–79 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Liberty @ Northern Iowa N 76–74 regular
2021-12-17 2022 Liberty @ East Carolina N 74–64 regular
2021-12-14 2022 Carver College @ Liberty 36–95 non_d1
2021-12-12 2022 Liberty @ Stephen F. Austin N 51–63 regular
2021-12-07 2022 Delaware State @ Liberty 60–96 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Missouri @ Liberty 45–66 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Liberty 61–73 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Bethune-Cookman @ Liberty N 51–59 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Manhattan @ Liberty N 76–60 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Liberty @ Iona N 50–54 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Liberty @ LSU 58–74 regular
2021-11-12 2022 Regent @ Liberty 24–85 non_d1