cbb·system

Liberty Flames

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Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.43 possessions per game 4.64

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.84 to 1.48 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-14 2024 UTEP @ Liberty N 66–57 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 Western Kentucky @ Liberty 79–82 regular
2024-03-06 2024 Liberty @ Middle Tennessee 61–69 regular
2024-03-03 2024 UTEP @ Liberty 67–51 regular
2024-03-01 2024 New Mexico State @ Liberty 58–83 regular
2024-02-23 2024 Liberty @ Florida International 71–76 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Liberty @ Sam Houston 73–83 regular
2024-02-11 2024 Louisiana Tech @ Liberty 62–65 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Middle Tennessee @ Liberty 53–88 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Liberty @ UTEP 67–65 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Liberty @ New Mexico State 73–79 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Liberty @ Jacksonville State 62–73 regular
2024-01-21 2024 Sam Houston @ Liberty 66–82 regular
2024-01-19 2024 Florida International @ Liberty 69–78 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Liberty @ Louisiana Tech 76–80 regular
2024-01-11 2024 Jacksonville State @ Liberty 61–51 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Liberty @ Western Kentucky 68–70 regular
2024-01-01 2024 Boyce @ Liberty 46–88 non_d1
2023-12-30 2024 Liberty @ Alabama N 56–101 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Liberty @ Utah Valley 79–63 regular
2023-12-16 2024 St. Andrews @ Liberty 26–99 non_d1
2023-12-14 2024 Tennessee State @ Liberty 52–74 regular
2023-12-09 2024 Grand Canyon @ Liberty 69–64 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Mississippi Valley State @ Liberty 39–74 regular
2023-12-01 2024 Charleston @ Liberty N 76–67 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Liberty @ Florida Atlantic 58–83 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Liberty 62–99 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Vermont @ Liberty N 61–71 regular
2023-11-18 2024 Wichita State @ Liberty N 66–83 regular
2023-11-17 2024 Furman @ Liberty N 74–88 regular
2023-11-10 2024 Liberty @ Charlotte N 71–59 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Mid-Atlantic Christian @ Liberty 43–103 non_d1