cbb·system

Liberty Flames

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Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.94 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.90 to 1.53 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026268 0.765

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-22 2026 Liberty @ Nevada 63–73 nit
2026-03-17 2026 Liberty @ George Mason 77–71 nit
2026-03-11 2026 Missouri State @ Liberty N 77–69 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Sam Houston @ Liberty 72–79 regular
2026-03-06 2026 Louisiana Tech @ Liberty 76–71 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Liberty @ Jacksonville State 81–78 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 65–74 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Western Kentucky @ Liberty 94–73 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Florida International @ Liberty 89–90 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Liberty @ UTEP 73–64 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Liberty @ New Mexico State 77–75 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Missouri State @ Liberty 76–79 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Liberty @ Delaware 75–69 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Liberty @ Middle Tennessee 81–65 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Delaware @ Liberty 51–67 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Liberty @ Western Kentucky 76–69 regular
2026-01-17 2026 UTEP @ Liberty 69–80 regular
2026-01-15 2026 New Mexico State @ Liberty 71–73 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Liberty @ Sam Houston 82–74 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Liberty @ Louisiana Tech 72–56 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Jacksonville State @ Liberty 69–78 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Kennesaw State @ Liberty 73–81 regular
2025-12-28 2026 Liberty @ Florida International 97–94 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Liberty @ Dayton 64–61 regular
2025-12-16 2026 Midway University @ Liberty 57–95 non_d1
2025-12-11 2026 Liberty @ NC State 45–85 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Coppin State @ Liberty 50–92 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Liberty @ Bradley N 64–74 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Towson @ Liberty N 72–69 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Liberty @ Vermont N 79–73 regular
2025-11-18 2026 Carolina University @ Liberty 46–98 non_d1
2025-11-09 2026 Florida Atlantic @ Liberty 68–88 regular
2025-11-07 2026 Charleston @ Liberty 75–90 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Kentucky Christian @ Liberty 57–98 non_d1