cbb·system

Cal State Fullerton Titans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.16
PACE 64.89 possessions per game 5.11

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal State Fullerton AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.79 to 1.30 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCal State Fullerton auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-12 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State N 60–64 conf_tournament
2014-03-09 2014 Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton 42–61 regular
2014-03-07 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine 72–78 regular
2014-03-02 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State 71–55 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge 59–79 regular
2014-02-23 2014 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton 64–54 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 77–78 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i 52–65 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 65–62 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton 76–54 regular
2014-02-07 2014 UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton 57–60 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton 83–64 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara 67–62 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly 65–69 regular
2014-01-19 2014 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 69–67 regular
2014-01-17 2014 UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton 58–75 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside 82–78 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Denver @ Cal State Fullerton 56–63 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Boise State 64–66 regular
2013-12-24 2014 New Mexico State @ Cal State Fullerton 52–63 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Seattle U @ Cal State Fullerton 53–55 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Arizona State @ Cal State Fullerton 81–55 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Iowa State 52–79 regular
2013-12-05 2014 San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton 65–42 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Alabama N 54–69 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Toledo N 58–59 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Columbia 80–54 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ UAlbany 49–71 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Fresno State @ Cal State Fullerton 68–57 regular
2013-11-09 2014 South Dakota @ Cal State Fullerton 66–57 regular