cbb·system

Cal State Fullerton Titans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.17 possessions per game 5.22

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal State Fullerton AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.14 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021418 0.182

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCal State Fullerton auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-10 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis N 54–61 conf_tournament
2021-03-09 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside N 55–51 conf_tournament
2021-03-07 2021 UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton 68–66 regular
2021-03-06 2021 UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton 57–60 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine 60–68 regular
2021-02-20 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine 58–71 regular
2021-02-14 2021 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 49–65 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 70–65 regular
2021-02-07 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside 49–64 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside 43–55 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton 57–56 regular
2021-01-30 2021 Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton 67–54 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i 43–57 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i 47–49 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Concordia University Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton 51–69 non_d1
2021-01-16 2021 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2021-01-10 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State 64–66 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State 50–69 regular
2021-01-03 2021 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton 79–60 regular
2021-01-02 2021 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton 83–54 regular
2020-12-28 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge canceled regular
2020-12-27 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge canceled regular
2020-12-20 2021 Pepperdine @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2020-12-09 2021 San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton 70–60 regular
2020-12-03 2021 UNLV @ Cal State Fullerton 81–67 regular
2020-11-28 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UCLA 49–98 regular
2020-11-25 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UCLA canceled regular