cbb·system

Cal State Fullerton Titans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.23 possessions per game 4.63

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal State Fullerton AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.21 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231416 0.467

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCal State Fullerton auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i N 75–82 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego 83–67 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton 44–57 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 70–58 regular
2023-02-21 2023 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton 74–58 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly 48–54 regular
2023-02-16 2023 UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton 57–71 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton 60–54 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside 63–66 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State 53–65 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 61–69 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine 66–64 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton 67–70 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton 70–42 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield 58–64 regular
2023-01-14 2023 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 51–67 regular
2023-01-12 2023 UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton 57–39 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i 53–66 regular
2023-01-05 2023 UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton 42–51 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge 59–69 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara 59–66 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Sacramento State @ Cal State Fullerton 67–55 regular
2022-12-18 2023 California Baptist @ Cal State Fullerton 72–78 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ UCLA 41–64 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Pacific @ Cal State Fullerton 66–80 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Pepperdine @ Cal State Fullerton 55–64 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ George Washington 70–64 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Georgetown 42–63 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ San José State 71–63 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Santa Clara 72–76 regular