cbb·system

Saint Mary's Gaels

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.22 points per possession 0.16
PACE 68.58 possessions per game 4.84

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Mary's AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.36 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSaint Mary's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-25 2014 Saint Mary's @ UTEP 64–76 other_postseason
2014-03-22 2014 Cal State Bakersfield @ Saint Mary's 68–75 other_postseason
2014-03-10 2014 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga N 60–68 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 San Diego @ Saint Mary's N 58–60 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Saint Mary's @ Portland 76–72 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga 65–75 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's 89–83 regular
2014-02-21 2014 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's 64–83 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine 74–61 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount 74–76 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Pacific @ Saint Mary's 88–71 regular
2014-02-01 2014 San Diego @ Saint Mary's 68–71 regular
2014-01-31 2014 BYU @ Saint Mary's 70–75 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Saint Mary's @ Pacific 80–91 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's 74–78 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's 48–71 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Saint Mary's @ San Francisco 86–67 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara 80–70 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Saint Mary's @ BYU 67–69 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Saint Mary's @ San Diego 70–80 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Portland @ Saint Mary's 65–80 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's 78–79 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Saint Mary's @ Cal State Northridge 72–60 regular
2013-12-20 2014 Saint Mary's @ USC 71–55 regular
2013-12-15 2014 UC Davis @ Saint Mary's 71–88 regular
2013-12-06 2014 Saint Mary's @ Sacramento State 92–94 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Toledo @ Saint Mary's 57–81 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Alabama @ Saint Mary's 76–86 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Cal Poly @ Saint Mary's 69–77 regular
2013-11-22 2014 UC Santa Barbara @ Saint Mary's 79–89 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Saint Mary's @ Butler 90–86 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Saint Mary's @ Portland State 72–54 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Washington @ Saint Mary's 81–91 regular