cbb·system

Saint Mary's Gaels

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.01 possessions per game 4.58

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Mary's AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.51 to 0.48 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSaint Mary's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-29 2015 Saint Mary's @ UCLA 66–82 other_postseason
2015-03-27 2015 Saint Mary's @ Sacramento State 77–69 other_postseason
2015-03-24 2015 Fresno State @ Saint Mary's 64–83 other_postseason
2015-03-21 2015 Hawai'i @ Saint Mary's 88–92 other_postseason
2015-03-06 2015 BYU @ Saint Mary's N 65–64 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's 71–74 regular
2015-02-27 2015 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's 65–63 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Saint Mary's @ Portland 62–58 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga 72–80 regular
2015-02-14 2015 San Diego @ Saint Mary's 66–68 regular
2015-02-13 2015 BYU @ Saint Mary's 71–76 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Saint Mary's @ Pacific 48–61 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine 53–49 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount 56–49 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Portland @ Saint Mary's 53–66 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's 52–42 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Saint Mary's @ BYU 61–51 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Saint Mary's @ San Diego 57–56 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Pacific @ Saint Mary's 88–86 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's 71–72 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's 68–73 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Saint Mary's @ San Francisco 68–66 regular
2014-12-27 2015 Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara 62–61 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Saint Mary's @ George Washington 52–70 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Saint Mary's @ Virginia 49–62 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Saint Mary's @ Cal Poly 65–64 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Saint Mary's @ Fresno State 56–60 regular
2014-12-07 2015 USC @ Saint Mary's 58–64 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Cal State Northridge @ Saint Mary's 63–73 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Iowa State @ Saint Mary's 63–67 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Howard @ Saint Mary's 55–80 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Sacramento State @ Saint Mary's 91–99 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Saint Mary's @ UC Davis 57–55 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Boston College @ Saint Mary's 82–72 regular